Introduction to International Politics

Foreign Event Analysis

Locale[]
Iraq
Title
Civil War in Iraq worries Americans as they pull out
Summary
American advisers are worried that as America pulls out of Iraq, disputed areas in Iraq may plunge the country as a whole into a civil war. Although the bulk of American presence will no longer be felt in Iraq, Iraqi governments in both Baghdad and Erbil have promised to maintain stability in these areas and throughout Iraq. These areas in dispute are one of the main problems the Baghdad and Erbil governments will face. There are three stipulations in article 140 that are supposed to resolve the disputed territory dilemma. However as of now none of these stipulations have been put into effect although they were supposed to be implemented at the end of 2007.
Analysis
Americans have a right to worry about these disputed territory although whether they will result in an Iraq civil war will have to be seen. The Iraq government has not been able to establish control in these areas such as Kirkuk, Nineveh, Diyala, and Salahaddin, with aid of American troops let alone by themselves. These disputed areas will play a role in the power vacuum that is about to take place in Iraq. After America leaves, there will be a need for a authoritative/powerful leadership role to take Americas place, which we are hoping will be the Iraqi government. The problem about these disputed territories is they present an opportunity for and adversary of the government to claim support in these regions where Iraqi government power is very loose if existent at all. Then there would be a power struggle between these groups as the Iraqi government try to stretch already thinned troops into areas that are especially hostile. This clash between the Iraqi government and these possible disputed territory’s in Iraq could cause a power vacuum that could possibly create civil war in Iraq.
Perspectiver
Realist
In-Region URL
Out-of-Region URL
Submitted
December 1, 2011 at 2:04 pm