Introduction to International Politics

Foreign Event Analysis

Locale[]
Korea (North)
Title
North Korea’s Disarmament Negotiations
Summary
The U.S. nuclear envoy attempted to save negotiations regarding the disarmament of North Korea’s nuclear program by staying another day. After Pyongyang started to dismantle its nuclear facilities in 2007, it has changed course and has started to restore its main nuclear reactor and to restart its plutonium reprocessing activities after disputes with Washington who demanded further verification before it removed North Korea from its list of states sponsoring terrorism. With the negotiations being described as unproductive and ending early, any agreement seems unlikely.
Analysis
Although negotiations involving the international community have been attempted, the underlying conflicts and tensions have remained. The encouraging signs of progress of 2007 have been reversed in retaliation to the United State’s unwillingness to remove North Korea from its list of states sponsoring terrorism. The hostile relations between North Korea and South Korea and also with the United States have remained because the actual dilemma is one where each state is unwilling to compromise. The notion of disarmament through international negotiation does not seem to be a likely or realistic possibility in this situation. Rather North Korea feels as though it is facing a security dilemma because of its current international relations and its geographic location. Regardless of the coalition of states working on compromise and a solution, both the United States and North Korea have acted primarily as states and with their own security as the top priority.
Being that there is no central power above the states, this pressure being placed on North Korea is somewhat ineffective. Without an overarching power to enforce regulations, the United States and the other states involved in these negotiations are limited in the amount of influence that they can have without taking direct action, such as force. In the current nuclear environment, North Korea can either assume that other states’ nuclear capabilities are not a threat and are merely defensive or it can work to ensure that they are not vulnerable or left in a weakened position because of their lack of nuclear weapons and technology. Because of North Korea’s current international relations and its past actions, it is unlikely that North Korea will suddenly trust foreign states and accept this weakened position. Being that power in this situation means nuclear weapons and technology, North Korea whether in its own defense or in an offensive pursuit of power, will likely continue its attempt to gain weapons and technology. The fact that this poses a threat to other states is inevitable and will not improve North Korea’s international relations. But it appears that North Korea is more concerned with its own power, in this case its nuclear power, than the international communities’ approval.
Perspectiver
Realist
In-Region URL
Out-of-Region URL
Submitted
October 3, 2008 at 11:11 am